Friday, December 20, 2013

This is Part 1 of a 5 part series available now at www.stratfor.com
Gauging the Jihadist Movement, Part 1: The Goals of the Jihadists - Scott Stewart (Security Weekly, Stratfor)

Iran

Partners for Peace?
Palestinian Red Line - Efraim Inbar (Israel Hayom)The Palestinians leaked a letter to the media that PA President Mahmoud Abbas sent to U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry reiterating Abbas' complete opposition to recognizing "Israel as a Jewish state," declaring it a "red line" that the Palestinians would not cross.
Abbas: Don't Boycott Israel- Yoel Goldman (Times of Israel)
Hamas Condemns Red Sea-Dead Sea Agreement (Al-Qassam Brigades-Gaza) Hamas has expressed its total rejection of the agreement by Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority linking the Red Sea with the Dead Sea via a water pipeline, considering it a step toward normalization and legalization with Israel. Hamas stressed that the PA is not entitled to give up or compromise on any inch of Palestinian land or water resources and called on the PA not to take unilateral decisions. 
PA promotes murder as positive act at cultural event - Itamar Marcus and Nan Jacques Zilberdik (Palestinian Media Watch)

Syria
As per FP: Syria's chemical weapons will be transported on Russian trucks and then shipped to a U.S. Navy vessel, where they will be destroyed.
In Syria, the Children of Al-Qaeda - Joby Warrick (Washington Post)  The video of a training camp posted by al-Qaeda's affiliate in Syria shows hooded recruits in camouflage shooting at targets or marching in formation under the black flag of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria.  But look closer and the "fighters" appear quite small. The tallest are barely chest-high to their instructors. A photo of the recruits without their hoods confirms that all of them are young boys.  They are "Zarqawi's Cubs," the youth brigade of Syria's most fearsome Islamist rebel group. In the soundtrack, Arab voices sing: "Oh mother, don't be saddened by my leaving," explaining that the boys are going to fight "for the sake of defeating the Jews." 
Meanwhile, there are reports of Syrian refugees overwhelming Jordan.

Tunisia
The Arab Spring’s first, atypical sign of calm - Avi Issacharoff (Times o Israel) In Tunisia, an unpopular government is ceding power in the interests of stability. As events in Syria and Lebanon underline, that’s the exception

Friday, December 13, 2013

Partners for Peace?
Peri: ‘We have a partner, but not an easy one' - Haviv Rettig Gur (Times of Israel) 
Defense Minister Ya'alon: We Have No Partner for Two-State Solution - Yaakov Lappin (Jerusalem Post)
West Bank Security Arrangements Suggested by Americans Are Irrelevant in Salafi Era - Guy Bechor  (Ynet NewsA new force is growing in the territories, the Salafi movement. They hate the Palestinian Authority more than they hate Israel, and they hate Hamas too. Their proclaimed aspiration is to establish an Islamic caliphate all across the Middle East.

Syria
In Syria, Hunger And Humiliation As Weapons Of Mass Destruction - Omar Kaddour (SUDDEUTSCHE ZEITUNG /Worldcrunch)

United Nations
UN Job Application Has Anti-Israel Slant- Hillel Neuer (Times of IsraelThis headline is an understatement!

United States
Council On American-Islamic Relations: Its Use Of Lawfare And Intimidation (Citizens for National Security) A new study by Citizens for National Security documents almost 150 instances where the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), a U.S. Muslim Brotherhood entity, used a tactic known as “lawfare” to intimidate its opponents. Read about CAIR's new splinter group, Egypt Freedom Foundation, here.
1. The Shiite bloc consisting of Iran, Hezbollah, Iraq and the Syrian regime. 
2. The pro-Muslim Brotherhood Sunni bloc, consisting of Turkey, Qatar, Tunisia, Hamas and some Syrian rebels. 
3. The anti-Iran/anti-Brotherhood Sunni bloc consisting of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, other Syrian rebels and other Arab countries.

Friday, December 6, 2013

Afghanistan

Iran
Six Reasons to Worry About the Iranian Nuclear Deal - Jeffrey Goldberg (Bloomberg) Including nothing was actually signed, the U.S. has already conceded that Iran is going to end up with the right to enrich, there is no promise by Iran in this interim deal to abstain from pursuing work on ballistic missiles or on weaponization...
Woe to U.S. Allies - Charles Krauthammer (Washington Post) The Israelis are now trapped by an agreement designed less to stop the Iranian nuclear program than to prevent the Israeli Air Force from stopping the Iranian nuclear program.

Syria 
On Tuesday, I attended Syria in the Crosshairs a panel discussion at Fordham.  Click here to read the full story.  This was a great discussion. It got heated at times, but the audience and speakers remained dignified. For me, the most fascinating thing about the panel discussion was how Massad spouted unsubstantiated rumors and was strongly challenged with facts by Hanna. The most disturbing thing about the discussion was that Massad was presented as a distinguished intellectual instead of the hate monger he usually is. As this was a discussion of Syria and touched on Egypt, I was relieved and surprised that Israel and the Palestinians were barely mentioned. Kizenko added an interesting perspective from Russia. The bottom line for her is that Russia doesn't have much to offer except for rhetoric. While Putin would like to be portrayed as the protector of Christians in the Middle East, Russia has in fact denied asylum to those Christians that have requested it.

Partners for Peace?
The U.S. Plan for Israel's Safety - Ron Ben-Yishai (Ynet News) Only thanks to Israeli control over the border crossings between the West Bank and Jordan has it been possible to prevent a massive spillover of al-Qaeda activists and explosive devices into the West Bank and Israel. Israel also notes that the attempt to place European inspectors at the border crossings between Gaza and Egypt failed miserably, and that following the Hamas coup in 2007 the supervisors ran for their lives.Palestinians Seek to Cancel Half of Debt Owed to Israel Electric Corp. - Avi Bar-Eli (Ha'aretz)

USA